IRGC command structure attempting to finalize succession within hours. Assembly of Experts unable to convene under active bombardment. Likely outcome: military council with theocratic facade. This effectively ends the Islamic Republic as constituted in 1979.

Monday Asian open will be violent. Oil pricing in 3 scenarios: contained ($85-95, 60%), partial disruption ($100-120, 30%), full Hormuz closure ($150+, 10%). Gold/silver safe haven flows accelerating. Defense sector +6-8% pre-market. BTC sold as most liquid 24/7 hedge vehicle.

Three Israeli strike waves completed. Primary targets: Natanz enrichment facility, Fordow underground complex, Arak reactor, IRGC command centers, air defense networks. Kharg Island oil terminal reportedly hit - satellite imagery shows 200km smoke plume. Iran's ability to project force significantly degraded but retaliatory capacity via proxies remains intact.

Iran internet throttled to ~5% capacity. State TV went dark then returned with Quran recitation. Starlink terminals being smuggled in. OSINT Twitter accounts now primary information source. Deepfake risk elevated - multiple unverified videos circulating. Telegram channels serving as emergency news infrastructure for 85M Iranians.

Iranian diaspora celebrations confirmed in 12+ cities. Largest gatherings in Los Angeles (Tehrangeles), London, Toronto, Berlin. Counter-protests by pro-regime factions in Baghdad, Beirut, Sanaa. Social media sentiment strongly bifurcated along Sunni/Shia lines. Moqtada al-Sadr declared 3-day mourning period.